Tuesday, January 29, 2008

Obama, Clinton and the Democrats

Barack Obama seems to have clinched an enviable set of endorsements from Caroline, Ted and Patrick Kennedy, although not all of the Kennedy clan is united behind them in their endorsements. Kathleen Kennedy Townsend, Kerry and RFK, Jr. are backing Clinton, so it seems that there's a bit of a political split in what has become known, at least according to the media, as "The First Family of Democratic Politics". I wonder how this will affect the outcome of what has also been labeled, by the media (who, it seems, likes to come up with clever nicknames for everything), "Tsunami Tuesday", next week, Tuesday, February 5. Twenty two states will be casting ballots in the primaries, and it could well ultimately determine the outcome of these primaries by deciding who the nominees for Republican and Democratic presidential candidates could be. It's rather a shame that Ohio will be rendered largely moot by holding its primary on March 4th. Ohio seems always to be referred to as a crucial "swing state", a state that no presidential candidate has managed to get to the White House without winning. Well, if this upcoming "Tsunami Tuesday" determines who the nominees are going to be, then what about Ohio? Will it be rendered moot, or will it still hold some importance in the upcoming elections? And why did the Democrats shoot themselves in the foot by withdrawing from the Florida and Michigan primaries, just because those states wanted their elections to have some clout by moving their primaries up in the election calendar? Now, those delegates have been stripped and those are two very importants states for Dems to win in the fall. I wonder if Democratic voters will punish the Democratic party in November by becoming turncoats and voting Republican in revenge (or independent, if, say, Michael Bloomberg decides to throw his hat in the ring at this late stage of things)? That could be catastrophic for this election, which will be even more crucial because it will also probably mean filling some Supreme Court seats in the next presidential term, and we can't afford more narrow minded ideologues filling the halls of the highest court in the land. So it remains to be seen what the fallout is going to be for both Clinton and Obama to have both a split among Kennedy endorsements and the whole situation in Florida and Michigan.

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